Mecklai Graph of The Week

India To Outperform It’s Peers

01 Jul, 2025
Graph of the week

The World Bank recently released its GDP growth projections for 2025, and the data clearly underscores a shifting global economic narrative. India leads the chart with a robust 6.2% projected growth, far ahead of other major economies. China follows at 4.0%, outperforming several developed nations despite facing significant economic and geopolitical headwinds. India's momentum displays its rising importance in the global economic order. This performance is anchored by a combination of favourable demographics, deepening digital infrastructure, and a policy environment supportive of both foreign and domestic investment. The government’s continued focus on manufacturing, infrastructure, and technology adoption is creating a strong base for long-term economic expansion. The domestic consumption-led growth model also adds a layer of resilience against global shocks.


On other hand, China is no longer growing at its previous double-digit pace, still impresses with a 4.0% expected GDP growth—remarkable given the challenges it faces. Ongoing tensions from the US-China trade war, Western sanctions on technology transfers, and a fragile real estate sector have clouded its outlook. Yet, Beijing’s ability to pivot towards high-tech manufacturing, stimulate domestic consumption, and maintain export competitiveness highlights the underlying strength and adaptability of its economy.


In contrast, many developed economies are expected to grow at a modest pace due to high interest rates, fiscal consolidation, and plateauing demand. The USA (1.8%), UK (1.1%), and Canada (1.4%) reflect this slowdown, while Russia (1.5%) and South Africa (1.0%) face their own structural and geopolitical hurdles.