Daily FX Trends - Commentaries

USD/INR EURO/USD GBP/USD USD/JPY USD/CHF
Macro Support-Resistance Levels 84.80-87.50 1.1200-1.2000 1.3200-1.4000 140.00-160.00 0.7800-0.8600
Sentiment against USD Positive Negative Negative Positive Neutral
Forecast for the day 85.45-85.80 1.1740-1.1835 1.3565-1.3660 143.30-144.45 0.7885-0.7945

  • Spot rupee closed at 85.31/32 to a dollar level after opening at 85.65/66 level. The rupee rose sharply today as custodian banks, who trade on behalf of Foreign investors sold dollars. The rupee rose to 85.18 level before reversing some gains. Equity market benchmarks ended about 0.2 lower today.
  • DXY is trading lower at 96.78 level today. FX markets are largely stable ahead of the NFP report due later today. The Non-Farm Payrolls is expected to rise 110K. A lower number will assume importance at this stage when Fed rate cuts are being debated.
  • Meanwhile, EURUSD is trading around 1.18 level. Meanwhile, EZ PMI Services was finalized at 50.5 in June, up from 49.7 in May. Composite PMI ticked up to 50.6 from 50.2. Performance remained uneven across major economies. Germany hit a three-month high at 50.4, while France fell to 49.2. Ireland, despite slowing to a five-month low, remained the strongest performer at 52.8. Spain (52.1) saw a slight pickup, while Italy’s reading slipped to 51.1. Input and Output prices firmed up.
  • GBPUSD traded steady around 1.3665 level. UK PMI Services was finalized at 52.8 in June, up from May’s 50.9, marking the fastest pace of expansion since August 2024. Consumer and business spending showed signs of a turnaround after a sluggish spring. Exporter orders and Employment index witnessed dip. Input prices witnessed a dip, helping to ease pressure on output prices. This could help the BoE ease monetary policy.
  • Important data releases scheduled today: US: NFP change; Unempl rate; Weekly Unempl claims; Trade balance; Factory orders; Average Hourly earnings;

Rupee opened tad higher at 85.65 against yesterday’s closing of 85.71 levels. Equity market benchmarks are trading about 0.2 higher today.


DXY is trading firmer at 96.79 level today. Data released from the US overnight showed US ADP private sector employment unexpectedly declined by -33K in June, far below expectations for a 105K gain. The decline was seen across all sectors.

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